Business Cycle Analysis, Forecasting methods, Public Finance

Member of the working party on tax projections at the Federal Ministry of Finance

Deputy head of the Forecasting Center

• International Macroeconomics

• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2017). Risk assessment on euro area government bond markets: The role of governance quality. Journal of International Money and Finance, 73, 104-117.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J., Jannsen, N., Meier, C. (2016). A Note on Banking and Housing Crises and the Strength of Recoveries. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 20, 1924-1933.
• Aßmann, C., Boysen-Hogrefe, J., Pape, M. (2016). Bayesian Analysis of Static and Dynamic Factor Models: An Ex-Post Approach towards the Rotation Problem. Journal of Econometrics, 192(1), 190-206.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2015). Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area - an empirical assessment. Journal of Forecasting, 34(7), 533-542.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2015). Konjunkturbereinigungsverfahren der Länder: Eine Quasi-Echtzeitanalyse am Beispiel Schleswig-Holsteins. Wirtschafts - und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, 9(1), 41-57.
• Aßmann, C., Boysen-Hogrefe, J., Jannsen, N. (2013). Costs of Housing Crises: International Evidence. Bulletin of Economic Research, 65(4), 299-313.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J., Golosnoy, V. (2013). Signaling NBER Turning Points: A Sequential Approach. Journal of Applied Statistics, 40(2), 438-448.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2013). A dynamic factor model with time-varying loadings for euro area bond markets during the debt crisis . Economics Letters, 118(1), 50-54.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2012). Die Zinslast des Bundes in der Schuldenkrise: Wie lukrativ ist der „sichere Hafen“?. Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 13 (Special Issue), 81-91.
• Aßmann, C., Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2012). Determinants of Government Bond Spreads in the Euro: In Good Times as in Bad. Empirica-Journal of European Economics, 39(3), 341-356.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2012). A note on predicting recessions in the euro area using real M1. Economics Bulletin, 32(2), 1291-1301.
• Aßmann, C., Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2011). A Bayesian Approach to Model-Based Clustering for Binary Panel Probit Models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 55(1), 261-279.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J., Groll, D. (2010). The German Labour Market Miracle. National Institute Economic Review, 214, R38-R50.
• Aßmann, C., Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2010). Analysis of Current Account Reversals via Regime Switching Models. Economic Change and Restructuring, 43(1), 21-43.
• Aßmann, C., Boysen-Hogrefe, J., Liesenfeld, R. (2009). The Decline in German Output Volatility: A Bayesian Analysis. Empirical Economics, 37, 653-679.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, J. (2008). Forecasting data revisions of GDP: a mixed frequency approach . AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 92, 271-296.